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Tarleton State Texans v UT-Arlington Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tarleton State Texans (Local)
Prediction 52.22%1.92fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.66%52.23%52.22%53.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.801.8757.80%55.37%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 47.78%2.09fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.32%47.77%47.78%49.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.0654.05%50.20%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tarleton State Texans (Local): 52.22%; UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit): 47.78%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.06, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.35%E -1.26%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.92%E -2.13%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.96%E -2.73%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.96%E -2.73%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.01%E -3.34%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.53%E -3.65%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.05%E -3.96%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.57%E -4.28%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.05%E -1.000%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.57%E -4.28%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.05%E -1.000%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.57%E -4.28%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.05%E -1.000%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.57%E -4.28%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.05%E -1.000%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.57%E -4.28%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -8.09%E -4.60%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -2.53%E -1.24%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.62%E -4.92%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-05 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.66%E -5.58%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |