Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves v Hampton Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves (Local)

Prediction 67.17%1.49fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.65%67.12%67.06%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.421.431.4772.99%70.41%69.93%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hampton Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 32.83%3.05fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.505%
Kelly -0.757%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%32.88%32.94%34.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.852.853.0036.36%35.08%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stony Brook Seawolves (Local): 67.17%; Hampton Pirates (Visit): 32.83%. For Stony Brook Seawolves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.47, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -1.26%E -0.856%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -7.75%E -2.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.60%E -1.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.60%E -1.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -5.13%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -5.13%E -1.77%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:50
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:50
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:52
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.27%E -2.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.51%E -0.505%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.16%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:04
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.16%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.80%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 20:50
TAB🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -3.94%E -2.76%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.72%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:15
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.62%E -3.25%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 20:50
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.06%EV -5.29%E -3.75%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.94%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.51%E -0.505%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -2.17%E -0.728%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.80%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.45%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 20:50
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:45
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.72%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.96%E -4.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.72%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -6.63%E -4.77%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -7.10%E -2.51%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.80%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:40
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.98%E -5.82%K -21.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.80%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%0.0%2026-02-21 20:50
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-02-21 20:20
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-02-21 20:35
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.13%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.87%2.2%2026-02-21 20:55
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-02-21 20:55