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Stonehill Skyhawks v Mercyhurst Lakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stonehill Skyhawks (Local)
Prediction 47.65%2.10fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.073%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.19%47.41%47.68%49.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.1654.05%50.29%50.00%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit)
Prediction 52.35%1.91fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.66%52.59%52.32%55.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.811.801.8758.48%55.38%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stonehill Skyhawks (Local): 47.65%; Mercyhurst Lakers (Visit): 52.35%. For Stonehill Skyhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV +2.92%E +1.35%K +2.52%G +0.073% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -10.48%E -6.13%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.32%E -1.13%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.24%E -2.90%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.75%E -1.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.20%E -2.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.20%E -2.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.20%E -2.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 18:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.20%E -2.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 18:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.72%E -2.59%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.70%E -2.35%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.29%E -3.51%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.13%E -3.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.61%E -3.37%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 18:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.81%E -3.83%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.09%E -3.63%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.34%E -4.15%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.52%E -4.44%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.85%E -6.41%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -5.77%E -3.20%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 18:44 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |