Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stonehill Skyhawks v Le Moyne Dolphins

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stonehill Skyhawks (Local)

Prediction 45.63%2.19fair odd
EV -0.519%
Edge -0.238%
Kelly -0.440%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%45.48%45.74%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.082.1850.00%48.12%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Le Moyne Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 54.37%1.84fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%54.52%54.26%56.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.751.7759.17%57.27%57.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stonehill Skyhawks (Local): 45.63%; Le Moyne Dolphins (Visit): 54.37%. For Stonehill Skyhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -0.519%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.519%E -0.238%K -0.440%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:54
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 18:24
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:54
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:15
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.63%E -2.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:20
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:19
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:19
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 18:20
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 18:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:50
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.12%E -4.81%K -11.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 18:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-02-21 18:45
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-02-21 18:50
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-02-21 18:50
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%4.4%2026-02-21 18:55