Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks v New Orleans Privateers

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local)

Prediction 85.80%1.17fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -15.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.73%85.55%86.05%87.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.111.111.1490.91%90.07%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Privateers (Visit)

Prediction 14.20%7.04fair odd
EV +8.04%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 7.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.63%14.45%13.95%18.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.516.507.6119.61%15.35%15.38%13.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local): 85.80%; New Orleans Privateers (Visit): 14.20%. For New Orleans Privateers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.04. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +8.04%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.098%4.0%2026-02-23 19:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +8.04%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.098%4.0%2026-02-23 19:25
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +6.48%E +0.864%K +0.997%G +0.065%4.2%2026-02-23 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +2.93%E +0.404%K +0.469%G +0.014%3.9%2026-02-23 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +0.802%E +0.113%K +0.131%G +0.001%4.2%2026-02-24 00:20
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.618%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-23 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.618%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 00:00
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.618%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 00:04
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.618%E -0.088%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 23:34
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.61%E -0.233%K -0.272%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 00:25
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -4.88%E -0.728%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -4.88%E -0.728%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -4.88%E -0.728%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 22:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:05
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:04
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:04
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 00:00
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 00:04
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.72%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -11.27%E -1.80%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 19:55
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.62%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.38%EV -14.11%E -2.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 00:20
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 00:19
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.82%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.36%E -3.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.36%E -3.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.36%E -3.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 00:05
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.48%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.36%E -3.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -2.19%E -1.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -27.59%E -5.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 00:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 87.00%7.63I 13.11%NM 13.00%0.8%2026-02-24 00:25
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-02-23 22:25
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-02-24 00:25
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%2.1%2026-02-24 00:25
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 88.89%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.11%2.3%2026-02-24 00:20