Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks v McNeese Cowboys

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local)

Prediction 40.17%2.49fair odd
EV +0.432%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.288%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%40.25%40.05%42.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.192.322.332.5045.66%43.07%42.92%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

McNeese Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 59.83%1.67fair odd
EV -0.088%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.18%59.75%59.95%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.601.6765.36%62.26%62.31%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local): 40.17%; McNeese Cowboys (Visit): 59.83%. For Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.432%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +0.432%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 20:58
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +0.432%E +0.173%K +0.288%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.58%E -0.644%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-11 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.58%E -0.644%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-11 20:59
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 20:59
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 20:59
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 21:00
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 21:00
ReBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.99%E -1.67%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 20:59
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.39%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 20:59
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.19%E -2.20%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.08%E -1.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 21:00
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 20:59
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 20:59
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.59%E -2.38%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.07%E -3.87%K -10.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 21:00
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.00%E -2.56%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.68%E -2.28%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 20:59
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.00%E -2.56%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 20:59
SportsBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.56%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:00
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.40%E -2.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 20:59
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -6.40%E -2.75%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 20:59
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.60%E -3.31%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-11 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -8.81%E -3.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.088%E -0.053%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 20:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -0.687%E -0.414%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -0.687%E -0.414%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -0.687%E -0.414%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -0.687%E -0.414%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -0.687%E -0.414%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:00
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -0.687%E -0.414%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.28%E -0.779%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.28%E -0.779%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:00
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.28%E -0.779%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 20:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.28%E -2.67%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 20:59
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -9.61%E -4.27%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -4.87%E -3.07%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 21:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -10.42%E -4.67%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -10.42%E -4.67%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -2.48%E -1.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -10.42%E -4.67%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -2.48%E -1.52%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 21:00
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -12.02%E -5.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -1.88%E -1.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.57I 38.91%NM 38.95%1.64I 60.98%NM 61.05%-0.1%2026-03-11 20:59
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-03-11 21:00
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%7.3%2026-03-11 21:00
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%9.0%2026-03-11 21:00