Language:English
Stanford Cardinal v SMU Mustangs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stanford Cardinal (Local)
Prediction 49.37%2.03fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.630%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%49.65%49.27%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.51%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SMU Mustangs (Visit)
Prediction 50.63%1.98fair odd
EV +3.79%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +3.61%
Growth +0.137%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%50.35%50.73%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.882.0554.64%53.26%53.19%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 49.37%; SMU Mustangs (Visit): 50.63%. For SMU Mustangs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -11.13%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +3.79%E +1.85%K +3.61%G +0.137% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -0.259%E -0.131%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -1.27%E -0.652%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.30%E -1.73%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.30%E -1.73%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -3.30%E -1.73%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.80%E -2.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.80%E -2.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -2.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -2.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -2.00%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.31%E -2.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.31%E -2.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.31%E -2.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.31%E -2.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.31%E -2.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.82%E -2.56%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.82%E -2.56%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.56%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.56%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.73%E -1.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.32%E -2.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.73%E -1.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.32%E -2.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.73%E -1.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.32%E -2.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.73%E -1.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.32%E -2.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.73%E -1.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.32%E -2.85%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.73%E -1.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.33%E -3.42%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -1.75%E -0.881%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.84%E -3.72%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -1.75%E -0.881%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.84%E -3.72%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.72%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.26%E -0.630%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.35%E -4.01%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.35%E -4.01%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.35%E -4.01%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.35%E -4.01%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.35%E -4.01%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.27%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.35%E -4.01%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.27%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.35%E -4.01%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.65%E -5.27%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.35%E -4.01%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-02-28 22:59 |