Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal v Pittsburgh Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stanford Cardinal (Local)

Prediction 76.61%1.31fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -13.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.54%76.52%76.54%77.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.231.2682.64%80.93%81.30%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 23.39%4.28fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.400%
Kelly +0.519%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%23.48%23.46%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.664.084.104.3527.32%24.51%24.39%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stanford Cardinal (Local): 76.61%; Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit): 23.39%. For Pittsburgh Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +1.74%E +0.400%K +0.519%G +0.009%4.3%2026-02-26 00:59
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.00%E -4.03%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.570%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.9%2026-02-26 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.600%E -0.141%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.600%E -0.141%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.600%E -0.141%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.600%E -0.141%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:00
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.600%E -0.141%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.600%E -0.141%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 00:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.600%E -0.141%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.00%E -4.03%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:59
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.77%E -0.421%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 01:00
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.47%E -2.75%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -3.64%E -0.884%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:59
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -3.47%E -2.75%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -3.87%E -0.943%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.47%E -2.75%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.47%E -2.75%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 00:59
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.24%E -3.39%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.24%E -3.39%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.00%E -4.03%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 01:00
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.00%E -4.03%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 00:59
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:59
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.00%EV -7.30%E -6.03%K -34.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.00%EV -5.28%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.47%E -2.75%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 01:00
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.24%E -3.39%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 00:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.24%E -3.39%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 00:59
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 01:00
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -5.77%E -4.69%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -7.38%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 00:59
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.47%E -2.75%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 01:00
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:59
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 01:00
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.53%E -5.36%K -29.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 01:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.24%E -3.39%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.24%E -3.39%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.29%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -4.24%E -3.39%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV -14.40%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 00:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.41%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.59%0.1%2026-02-26 00:59
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-02-26 01:00
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-02-26 00:59
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 76.99%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.01%2.3%2026-02-26 00:58
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%3.8%2026-02-26 01:00