Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.14
assuming max odds 6.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Local): 85.00%; Omaha Mavericks (Visit): 15.00%. For Omaha Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.522%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +0.522%E +0.078%K +0.092%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.66%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.34%EV +0.372%E +0.056%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 23:07 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.98%E -0.622%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.98%E -0.622%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -3.98%E -0.622%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.88%E -0.770%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.88%E -0.770%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.88%E -0.770%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -5.48%E -0.870%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.10%E -2.72%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.98%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.98%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.98%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.98%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.40%EV -6.50%E -5.91%K -65.04%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.60%EV -10.73%E -1.80%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.05%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -12.23%E -2.09%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.10%E -2.72%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.10%E -2.72%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -13.73%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -3.95%E -3.50%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -15.98%E -2.85%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.48%E -3.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.48%E -3.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 00:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.99% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 13.01% | -0.0% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.45% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.55% | 2.1% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.23% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.77% | 2.9% | 2026-03-01 00:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.62% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.38% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:59 |