Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 2.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Local): 60.60%; North Dakota St Bison (Visit): 39.40%. For North Dakota St Bison (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.53, with an expected value of -0.310%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.23%E -0.753%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 01:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 23:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -14.89%E -6.89%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -1.83%E -1.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -15.28%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -2.44%E -1.52%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -12.52%E -5.64%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.07%E -1.25%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-27 01:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.310%E -0.122%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 23:37 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.310%E -0.122%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -0.310%E -0.122%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 00:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -5.47%E -3.51%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -0.704%E -0.279%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 23:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.47%E -3.51%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.07%E -1.25%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.47%E -3.51%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 01:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.08%E -3.92%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.37%E -4.07%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -7.89%E -5.19%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -8.19%E -3.52%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -7.89%E -5.19%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -8.19%E -3.52%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-02-27 01:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-02-27 01:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42% | 1.9% | 2026-02-27 01:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-02-27 01:39 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 01:54 |