Language:English
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies v North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Local)
Prediction 84.94%1.18fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -22.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.57%84.95%84.94%86.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.06%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 15.06%6.64fair odd
EV +5.44%
Edge +0.777%
Kelly +0.907%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.69%15.05%15.06%17.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.126.007.0018.52%16.35%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (Local): 84.94%; North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit): 15.06%. For North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.64. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +5.44%E +0.777%K +0.907%G +0.049% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +5.44%E +0.777%K +0.907%G +0.049% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.28%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.72%EV +5.14%E +0.736%K +0.859%G +0.044% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.28%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.72%EV +5.14%E +0.736%K +0.859%G +0.044% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV +4.69%E +0.674%K +0.788%G +0.037% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.06%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.94%EV +3.18%E +0.464%K +0.544%G +0.017% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +1.67%E +0.248%K +0.291%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.31%EV -4.02%E -3.56%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.69%EV -1.19%E -0.181%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.02%E -3.56%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.09%E -0.322%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.09%E -0.322%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.09%E -0.322%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.02%E -3.56%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.86%E -0.937%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.86%E -0.937%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.86%E -0.937%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.86%E -0.937%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 17:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.02%E -3.56%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -6.61%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 03:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.57%E -5.97%K -65.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.57%E -5.97%K -65.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.57%E -5.97%K -65.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -9.62%E -1.60%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.40%EV -6.57%E -5.97%K -65.69%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.60%EV -10.38%E -1.74%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 22:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.05%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.95%EV -11.88%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -13.39%E -2.33%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -5.72%E -5.15%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -13.39%E -2.33%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -17.15%E -3.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -17.15%E -3.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -17.15%E -3.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -17.15%E -3.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.02%E -3.56%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -17.15%E -3.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.87%E -4.35%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.15%E -3.12%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 03:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.17%E -2.78%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -18.66%E -3.46%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.02%E -3.56%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -18.66%E -3.46%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.37% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.63% | -0.2% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.08% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 14.92% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 54.62% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 45.38% | 69.5% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 54.62% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 45.38% | 69.5% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 48.82% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 51.18% | 89.7% | 2026-03-08 03:39 |