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St. John's Red Storm v Villanova Wildcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. John's Red Storm (Local)
Prediction 74.30%1.35fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -11.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.94%74.24%74.35%75.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.22%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Villanova Wildcats (Visit)
Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.375%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%25.76%25.65%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.693.703.8528.99%27.09%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. John's Red Storm (Local): 74.30%; Villanova Wildcats (Visit): 25.70%. For Villanova Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 00:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -3.12%E -0.828%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.64%E -0.970%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.64%E -0.970%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.64%E -0.970%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.89%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.89%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -3.89%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 23:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 23:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.07%E -0.277%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 00:21 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.07%E -0.277%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 00:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.63%E -4.44%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.14% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.86% | 0.3% | 2026-03-01 00:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.33% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 00:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 00:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-01 00:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 00:49 |