Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 1.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. John's Red Storm (Local): 44.00%; UConn Huskies (Visit): 56.00%. For St. John's Red Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.20%E +0.523%K +0.925%G +0.011% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.20%E +0.523%K +0.925%G +0.011% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV +0.762%E +0.333%K +0.591%G +0.005% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.998%E -0.443%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.998%E -0.443%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.998%E -0.443%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.32%E -1.04%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -2.32%E -1.04%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.56%E -1.47%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.72%E -3.17%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 22:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 22:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -8.04%E -3.85%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.48%E -4.08%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.48%E -4.08%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -8.48%E -4.08%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.48%E -4.08%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.48%E -4.08%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.80%E -4.78%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 21:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.72% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 57.28% | -0.8% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 22:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |