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St. John's Red Storm v Providence Friars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. John's Red Storm (Local)
Prediction 85.91%1.16fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -22.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.95%85.78%85.88%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1391.74%90.00%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Providence Friars (Visit)
Prediction 14.09%7.10fair odd
EV +10.75%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.169%
assuming max odds 7.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.28%14.22%14.12%17.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.456.536.507.8618.35%15.32%15.38%12.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. John's Red Storm (Local): 85.91%; Providence Friars (Visit): 14.09%. For Providence Friars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.10. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +10.75%E +1.37%K +1.57%G +0.169% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV +10.75%E +1.37%K +1.57%G +0.169% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +9.91%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.144% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 15:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.68%E +0.757%K +0.874%G +0.050% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.68%E +0.757%K +0.874%G +0.050% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 15:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.68%E +0.757%K +0.874%G +0.050% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 15:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.03%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.97%EV +4.98%E +0.668%K +0.771%G +0.038% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +0.044%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.37%E -0.195%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.37%E -0.195%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.37%E -0.195%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.37%E -0.195%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -4.18%E -0.615%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -4.18%E -0.615%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.82%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 6.78I 14.75%NM 14.18%EV -4.47%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.89%E -0.724%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.89%E -0.724%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 15:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.19%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -5.59%E -0.835%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.73%EV -6.36%E -5.83%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.27%EV -7.71%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.41%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.41%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.41%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.36%E -5.83%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.41%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.36%E -5.83%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.41%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.36%E -5.83%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -11.93%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.36%E -5.83%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -11.93%E -1.91%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -55.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.46%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -2.92%E -2.59%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -18.27%E -3.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -18.27%E -3.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -18.27%E -3.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.98%E -3.30%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.95%EV -3.78%E -3.38%K -31.51%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.05%EV -23.21%E -4.26%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.80% | 8.88I 11.26%NM 11.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.10% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.90% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.57% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.43% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71% | 2.3% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |