Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.19
assuming max odds 5.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. John's Red Storm (Local): 81.96%; Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit): 18.04%. For Northern Iowa Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -0.788%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.80%EV -2.47%E -2.07%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.20%EV -3.49%E -0.653%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-20 21:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.29%E -2.78%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.32%E -3.01%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.29%E -2.78%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -18.83%E -4.18%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.788%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -1.51%E -0.276%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -1.51%E -0.276%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.33%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.67%EV -1.69%E -0.310%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.59%E -0.480%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.40%E -0.829%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 16:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.30%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.30%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.30%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:52 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.788%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.788%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-20 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.40%E -0.829%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.92%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -8.00%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.788%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.30%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.00%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.00%E -1.57%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.788%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.20%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 21:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.81%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.41%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.41%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.61% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 16.39% | -0.3% | 2026-03-20 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.33% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.67% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 20:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-03-20 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 23:15 |