Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.07
assuming max odds 11.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. John's Red Storm (Local): 90.46%; Georgetown Hoyas (Visit): 9.54%. For Georgetown Hoyas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.92%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +4.92%E +0.447%K +0.492%G +0.024% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.150%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +0.150%E +0.014%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.82%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 10.49I 9.53%NM 9.18%EV +0.054%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV -0.327%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV -0.327%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV -0.327%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.87%EV -6.82%E -6.63%K -227.47%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.13%EV -2.23%E -0.218%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV -2.71%E -0.266%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -4.62%E -0.462%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.01%E -4.78%K -100.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -4.62%E -0.462%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -7.00%E -0.718%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.39%E -0.988%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.39%E -0.988%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -9.39%E -0.988%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -11.77%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -11.77%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -11.77%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -11.77%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.01%E -4.78%K -100.30%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -11.77%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.01%E -4.78%K -100.30%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -11.77%E -1.27%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.84%EV -5.92%E -5.69%K -147.99%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.16%EV -12.25%E -1.33%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.01%E -4.78%K -100.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.16%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.01%E -4.78%K -100.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.16%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.01%E -4.78%K -100.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.16%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.01%E -4.78%K -100.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -14.16%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.92%E -5.69%K -147.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -14.16%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.92%E -5.69%K -147.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -14.16%E -1.57%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.21%E -3.00%K -45.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.01%E -4.78%K -100.30%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -18.93%E -2.23%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 22:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.11%E -3.88%K -68.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -23.70%E -2.96%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.59% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.41% | -0.0% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.51% | 2.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.77% | 10.42I 9.60%NM 9.23% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 23:25 |