Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. John's Red Storm v Creighton Bluejays

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 16:58 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. John's Red Storm (Local)

Prediction 86.83%1.15fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -22.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.70%86.79%86.94%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1293.46%91.31%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Creighton Bluejays (Visit)

Prediction 13.17%7.60fair odd
EV +5.33%
Edge +0.666%
Kelly +0.761%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.21%13.06%15.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.207.027.008.0016.13%14.25%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. John's Red Storm (Local): 86.83%; Creighton Bluejays (Visit): 13.17%. For Creighton Bluejays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.60. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.33%E +0.666%K +0.761%G +0.041%5.1%2026-02-21 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.46%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +2.70%E +0.346%K +0.397%G +0.011%4.6%2026-02-21 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.195%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +0.195%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.25%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.25%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:25
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -1.25%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:24
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.25%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 16:23
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.09%E -6.62%K -101.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.25%E -0.167%K -0.193%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:44
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.06%EV -3.61%E -3.26%K -32.86%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 12.94%EV -1.65%E -0.221%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -4.54%E -0.627%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.61%E -3.26%K -32.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:40
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.61%E -3.26%K -32.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 16:35
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 16:55
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 16:55
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.84%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 16:35
Fliff🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -9.15%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:55
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -2.75%E -2.45%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -10.47%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -10.47%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.42%E -2.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.42%E -2.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 16:30
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.42%E -2.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.22%E -5.76%K -77.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.42%E -2.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.48%E -4.08%K -44.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -17.71%E -2.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 16:25
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -17.71%E -2.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:30
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.35%E -4.91%K -59.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -17.71%E -2.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:30
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -2.75%E -2.45%K -22.89%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -18.37%E -2.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.13I 88.50%NM 88.71%8.88I 11.26%NM 11.29%-0.2%2026-02-21 16:55
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-02-21 16:50
Polymarket1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-02-21 16:40
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-02-21 15:30
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 87.80%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.20%1.7%2026-02-21 16:55