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Southern Utah Thunderbirds v Utah Valley Wolverines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local)
Prediction 19.17%5.22fair odd
EV -0.329%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.078%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%19.32%19.09%22.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.764.755.2023.81%21.01%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah Valley Wolverines (Visit)
Prediction 80.83%1.24fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -10.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.98%80.68%80.91%81.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.191.191.2186.21%84.34%84.03%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local): 19.17%; Utah Valley Wolverines (Visit): 80.83%. For Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.20, with an expected value of -0.329%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.329%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.43%E -4.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.98%EV -2.63%E -0.517%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.02%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.62%E -3.91%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.62%E -3.91%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.62%E -3.91%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.43%E -4.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.43%E -4.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.16%E -0.832%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.43%E -4.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -6.08%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -3.00%E -2.50%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.08%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.62%E -3.91%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -4.62%E -3.91%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.00%E -1.67%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.23%E -5.37%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.00%E -2.50%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 23:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.95%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.91%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.23%E -5.37%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.91%E -2.11%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.23%E -5.37%K -38.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -11.83%E -2.57%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.19%E -1.81%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -12.79%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.43%E -4.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.75%E -3.05%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.00%E -2.50%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.75%E -3.05%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.00%E -2.50%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.75%E -3.05%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.00%E -2.50%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -13.75%E -3.05%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -15.66%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -3.81%E -3.20%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -18.54%E -4.36%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.00%E -2.50%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.50%E -4.64%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.62%E -3.91%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.50%E -4.64%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.62%E -3.91%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.68I 17.61%NM 17.56% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.44% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 01:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.03% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.97% | 2.1% | 2026-03-06 01:19 |
| Novig◎ | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.49% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.51% | 2.2% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |