Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Utah Thunderbirds v Cal Baptist Lancers

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local)

Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%30.48%30.46%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.2535.71%32.42%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit)

Prediction 69.60%1.44fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -6.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%69.52%69.54%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.381.4075.19%72.76%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local): 30.40%; Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit): 69.60%. For Southern Utah Thunderbirds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -1.20%E -0.368%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.26%E -2.34%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 01:24
Everygame🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.20%E -0.368%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:19
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.20%E -0.368%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.43%E -5.59%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:29
BetUS🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -1.81%E -0.559%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 01:24
Caesars🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -2.11%E -0.655%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 17:51
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:10
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.72%E -0.849%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 01:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.02%E -0.947%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 01:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.02%E -0.947%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 01:24
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -3.02%E -0.947%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 01:20
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 01:24
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 01:24
GTbets🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 01:24
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.24%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 01:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 01:20
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:54
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:54
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:59
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.65%E -3.39%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:24
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.65%E -3.39%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:24
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.76%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 01:24
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:59
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.28%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:59
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 01:19
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 01:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:59
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 01:24
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.04%E -4.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 01:24
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.80%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.04%E -4.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 01:24
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.32%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.56%E -1.83%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:19
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.84%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 01:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 01:20
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -14.88%E -5.31%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.35%E -3.93%K -14.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.54%-0.2%2026-03-08 01:24
ProphetX3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-08 01:24
Polymarket3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-03-07 16:55
Novig3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%2.3%2026-03-08 01:24