Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 63.92%; Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit): 36.08%. For Old Dominion Monarchs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.783%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.20%E -1.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.20%E -1.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.20%E -1.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.11%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.20%E -1.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.84%E -1.87%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.84%E -1.87%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.80%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -2.84%E -1.87%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.80%E -3.92%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.48%E -2.30%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.75%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.48%E -2.30%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.47%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 19:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.783%E -0.285%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.59%E -0.958%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 19:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.59%E -0.958%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -2.95%E -1.10%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 19:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.47%E -2.09%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.19%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.19%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.19%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.12%E -2.75%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.76%E -3.19%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.19%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.40%E -3.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.783%E -0.285%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.40%E -3.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.40%E -3.65%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -13.41%E -5.59%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -6.04%E -4.11%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -1.87%E -0.686%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.04%E -4.11%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.00%E -3.14%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -6.68%E -4.57%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.92%E -2.68%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -1.14%E -0.417%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.19%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.31%E -5.04%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.19%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.95%E -5.52%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.19%E -2.38%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.23%E -6.50%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.783%E -0.285%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.74% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.26% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 19:54 |