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Southern Miss Golden Eagles v James Madison Dukes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local)
Prediction 44.23%2.26fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.26%44.24%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.2048.78%46.70%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
James Madison Dukes (Visit)
Prediction 55.77%1.79fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%55.74%55.76%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.711.7560.61%58.76%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 44.23%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 55.77%. For James Madison Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -2.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.70%E -1.23%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.70%E -1.23%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.70%E -1.23%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.70%E -1.23%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 21:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.70%E -1.23%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.70%E -1.23%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.58%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.47%E -2.07%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 21:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.91%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.35%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.40%E -1.37%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.35%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.96%E -1.70%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.35%E -2.50%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 22:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.80%EV -5.79%E -2.72%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.20%EV -7.42%E -4.47%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.07%E -2.37%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.98%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.23%E -2.94%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.98%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.63%E -2.71%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.30%E -3.75%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.86%E -4.11%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.98%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 21:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.12%E -3.39%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.98%E -4.83%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -7.56%E -3.62%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -5.75%E -3.40%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.00%E -3.85%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.55%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.19%E -3.05%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 23:00 |