Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Jaguars v Grambling St Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 67.63%1.48fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.74%67.61%67.61%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.36%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grambling St Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 32.37%3.09fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.613%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%32.39%32.39%33.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.923.0536.36%34.16%34.19%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Jaguars (Local): 67.63%; Grambling St Tigers (Visit): 32.37%. For Grambling St Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.62%E -1.82%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 20:50
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.30%E -2.30%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.30%E -2.30%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 16:40
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.30%E -2.30%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 22:27
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -3.30%E -2.30%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -7.08%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:00
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.97%E -2.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:09
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.97%E -2.80%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:10
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.06%EV -4.65%E -3.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.94%EV -7.08%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 20:50
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.26%E -0.412%K -0.613%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:40
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:40
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.88%E -0.959%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.52%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:40
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:40
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 20:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:29
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 21:40
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 13:19
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.32%E -3.80%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:00
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.68%E -4.84%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 18:05
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.35%E -5.37%K -19.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.35%E -5.37%K -19.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 21:00
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.03%E -5.90%K -22.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.03%E -5.90%K -22.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.31%-0.2%2026-02-21 22:35
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-02-21 22:10
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-02-21 17:35
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-02-21 21:50
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%3.7%2026-02-21 20:55