Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Illinois Salukis v Indiana St Sycamores

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Illinois Salukis (Local)

Prediction 75.84%1.32fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -7.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.88%75.71%75.92%77.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.251.241.2983.33%80.21%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana St Sycamores (Visit)

Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV +3.87%
Edge +0.900%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%24.29%24.08%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.443.964.004.3029.07%25.22%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Illinois Salukis (Local): 75.84%; Indiana St Sycamores (Visit): 24.16%. For Indiana St Sycamores (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.71%E -5.46%K -29.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +3.87%E +0.900%K +1.17%G +0.045%4.6%2026-02-25 17:34
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.99%E -7.49%K -44.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.66%E +0.626%K +0.819%G +0.022%6.9%2026-02-25 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:35
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:39
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -0.962%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 22:40
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -2.17%E -0.536%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:38
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -3.14%E -0.782%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.44%E -3.52%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 23:09
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:35
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:35
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.38%E -0.844%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 22:35
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.30%EV -6.71%E -5.46%K -29.18%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.70%EV -4.34%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.68%E -2.90%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.79%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 22:39
Fliff🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.71%E -5.46%K -29.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.79%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 23:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.16%E -1.67%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.16%E -1.67%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 23:09
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.16%E -1.67%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 22:39
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.71%E -5.46%K -29.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 22:35
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.71%E -5.46%K -29.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.21%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 22:35
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.19%E -4.16%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 22:39
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.47%E -6.12%K -33.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.62%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-25 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -2.92%E -2.28%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -16.90%E -4.91%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 78.08%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.92%0.1%2026-02-26 00:40
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-02-26 00:40
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-02-26 00:15
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.7%2026-02-26 00:25
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 76.87%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.13%2.4%2026-02-26 00:45