Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Dakota St Jackrabbits v North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Local)

Prediction 75.22%1.33fair odd
EV +0.049%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.31%75.34%75.43%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.271.3381.97%79.21%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 24.78%4.04fair odd
EV +4.06%
Edge +0.966%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.66%24.57%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.813.854.2031.75%26.28%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Dakota St Jackrabbits (Local): 75.22%; North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit): 24.78%. For North Dakota Fighting Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +4.06%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051%3.8%2026-02-21 19:20
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +4.06%E +0.966%K +1.27%G +0.051%4.5%2026-02-21 19:23
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +3.07%E +0.737%K +0.970%G +0.030%4.0%2026-02-21 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +3.07%E +0.737%K +0.970%G +0.030%4.0%2026-02-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.898%E -0.225%K -0.299%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.898%E -0.225%K -0.299%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.14%E -0.541%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -8.23%E -6.74%K -37.39%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -2.38%E -0.605%K -0.811%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.43%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -2.63%E -0.670%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 19:15
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.38%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:20
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:17
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:50
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.85%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:15
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 19:15
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.72%E -5.42%K -28.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.09%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:25
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.71%E -2.90%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.23%E -6.74%K -37.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:20
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.23%E -6.74%K -37.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.33%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:15
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:50
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:50
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.97%E -4.78%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:14
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.46%E -3.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 18:50
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.75%EV -5.22%E -4.14%K -20.07%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.25%EV -12.29%E -3.47%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 19:15
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.96%E -2.29%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV +0.049%E +0.037%K +0.147%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -21.96%E -6.97%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-02-21 19:20
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-02-21 19:55
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-21 19:45
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-02-21 19:55