Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Upstate Spartans v Gardner-Webb Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Local)

Prediction 86.67%1.15fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -24.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.60%86.61%86.42%88.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1292.59%90.82%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 13.33%7.50fair odd
EV +6.66%
Edge +0.832%
Kelly +0.951%
Growth +0.063%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.99%13.39%13.58%15.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.106.826.758.0016.39%14.66%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Local): 86.67%; Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Visit): 13.33%. For Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.50. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.53%E -5.08%K -61.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.66%E +0.832%K +0.951%G +0.063%4.2%2026-02-28 18:14
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.40%E -5.92%K -79.98%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +3.99%E +0.512%K +0.587%G +0.023%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.57%EV -5.53%E -5.08%K -61.47%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.43%EV +2.39%E +0.311%K +0.358%G +0.009%4.8%2026-02-28 18:29
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.009%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:45
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.009%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 18:49
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -3.34%E -0.461%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 15:45
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -3.34%E -0.461%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 18:52
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.67%E -0.954%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.67%E -0.954%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.67%E -0.954%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.67%E -0.954%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.67%E -0.954%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.67%E -0.954%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.67%E -0.954%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.67%E -0.954%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.38%EV -6.40%E -5.92%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.62%EV -8.67%E -1.27%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -9.34%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:44
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -4.67%E -4.24%K -46.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -9.34%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.01%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:19
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.01%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.01%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.01%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.01%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.01%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:20
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.01%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -10.01%E -1.48%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.83%EV -5.53%E -5.08%K -61.47%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.17%EV -12.01%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:54
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.53%E -5.08%K -61.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.34%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.53%E -5.08%K -61.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.34%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 18:54
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.40%E -5.92%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.34%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 16:44
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.67%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.67%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:19
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -16.67%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 17:19
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.53%E -5.08%K -61.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -16.67%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.53%E -5.08%K -61.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -16.67%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:45
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -2.93%E -2.62%K -24.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -17.34%E -2.80%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -18.67%E -3.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -3.80%E -3.42%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -18.67%E -3.06%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 89.44%9.49I 10.54%NM 10.56%-0.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-02-28 18:49
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-02-28 16:40
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%1.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Novig1.11I 90.09%NM 87.99%8.13I 12.30%NM 12.01%2.4%2026-02-28 18:54