Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 48.88%2.05fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.88%48.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.942.0054.05%51.79%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 51.12%1.96fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.12%51.05%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.9155.56%54.05%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 48.88%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 51.12%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -2.73%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.92%E -2.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.22%E -1.63%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.92%E -2.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.20%E -2.14%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.92%E -2.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:25
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:51
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:30
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:29
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 17:30
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:30
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:30
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:30
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.68%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:29
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:29
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.36%E -1.24%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:35
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:30
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:55
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:25
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.59%E -4.60%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.45%E -3.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 17:25
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 17:30
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.57%E -5.17%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-02-21 17:55
Novig2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%0.9%2026-02-21 17:55
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-02-21 17:35
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-02-21 17:35
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%4.2%2026-02-21 17:40