Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV +4.81%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.46%26.52%26.38%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.503.9830.77%28.17%28.57%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 73.67%1.36fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -6.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%73.48%73.62%76.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3381.97%77.13%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 26.33%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 73.67%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +4.81%E +1.21%K +1.62%G +0.078%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -10.13%E -8.30%K -46.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 23:10
1xBet🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV +3.76%E +0.954%K +1.28%G +0.048%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -7.18%E -5.70%K -27.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 23:10
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +2.71%E +0.694%K +0.933%G +0.025%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-24 23:04
Caesars🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.24%E -0.332%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:49
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.24%E -0.332%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.51%E -0.403%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:44
LowVig.ag🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -1.51%E -0.403%K -0.550%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-24 22:44
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-24 23:50
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.56%E -0.692%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 23:50
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 23:35
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 22:44
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-24 23:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.03%EV -5.72%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.97%EV -7.18%E -5.70%K -27.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 22:50
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 22:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 22:44
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 22:45
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 22:50
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 15:14
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.45%E -5.08%K -23.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 23:54
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 22:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 22:44
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 22:44
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 22:44
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.03%E -1.52%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 18:40
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 22:45
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 22:44
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 22:44
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-24 22:44
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 22:50
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -14.41%E -4.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -4.24%E -3.26%K -14.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-24 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly4.05I 24.69%NM 24.72%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.28%-0.1%2026-02-24 23:50
ProphetX3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-02-24 23:54
Novig3.88I 25.77%NM 25.67%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.33%0.4%2026-02-24 23:45
Polymarket3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-02-24 22:49
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-02-24 23:45