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South Alabama Jaguars v Troy Trojans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
South Alabama Jaguars (Local)
Prediction 44.95%2.22fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.934%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.93%44.84%46.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.122.152.2049.02%47.28%46.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Troy Trojans (Visit)
Prediction 55.05%1.82fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.79%55.07%55.16%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.721.7760.61%58.21%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Alabama Jaguars (Local): 44.95%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 55.05%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.12%E -0.510%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 20:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.12%E -0.510%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.02%E -0.927%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.02%E -0.927%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.02%E -0.927%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 20:52 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 20:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 20:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.57%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.82%E -1.78%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.41%E -3.60%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.55%E -1.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 20:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.16%E -5.55%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -8.31%E -4.07%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | -0.0% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |