Language:English
South Alabama Jaguars v Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
South Alabama Jaguars (Local)
Prediction 63.77%1.57fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.85%63.78%65.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.481.5469.93%67.31%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 36.23%2.76fair odd
EV -0.378%
Edge -0.137%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.71%36.15%36.22%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.652.7540.00%37.89%37.81%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Alabama Jaguars (Local): 63.77%; Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit): 36.23%. For Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.378%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -1.79%E -1.16%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 00:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -1.79%E -1.16%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -6.54%E -2.53%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 01:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.43%E -1.59%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.06%E -2.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.62%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 01:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.70%E -2.45%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.00%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 01:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.70%E -2.45%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 01:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.378%E -0.137%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -0.378%E -0.137%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 00:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.00%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.09%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 01:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 01:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.43%E -3.77%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 23:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.98%E -3.34%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.378%E -0.137%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 00:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.98%E -3.34%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-27 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.98%E -3.34%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.36%E -1.65%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.378%E -0.137%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.378%E -0.137%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 23:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.19%E -0.811%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.00%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.00%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.00%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 01:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.00%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.72%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.72%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.72%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.25%E -4.25%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.25%E -4.25%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.62%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 21:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.25%E -4.25%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.62%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 21:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.25%E -4.25%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.62%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.53%E -5.19%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.00%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 00:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.17%E -5.67%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.81%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 00:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.17%E -5.67%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.43%E -3.77%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.17%E -5.67%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.43%E -3.77%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 00:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -8.80%E -6.16%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -2.55%E -0.948%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 23:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-02-28 01:24 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 0.1% | 2026-02-28 01:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-02-27 22:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 01:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.73% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 35.27% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 01:09 |