Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Alabama Jaguars v Georgia Southern Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 01:33 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Alabama Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 64.45%1.55fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.913%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.30%64.44%65.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.471.5369.93%67.90%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 35.55%2.81fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.679%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.75%35.70%35.56%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.672.7640.00%37.44%37.52%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Alabama Jaguars (Local): 64.45%; Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit): 35.55%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -1.40%E -0.913%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -7.92%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 01:29
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.69%E -1.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 01:22
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.33%E -2.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.58%E -0.943%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.33%E -2.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.58%E -0.943%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:29
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.33%E -2.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 01:28
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.33%E -2.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 01:29
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.33%E -2.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.34%E -3.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 01:29
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.33%E -2.22%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.12%E -4.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 01:29
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.97%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 01:27
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.97%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 01:30
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.97%E -2.67%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 01:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 01:29
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 01:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:29
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:29
TAB🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:29
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.62%E -3.12%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.34%E -3.66%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 01:29
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -1.87%E -0.679%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 01:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:29
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:30
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.23%E -0.810%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:29
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:29
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:29
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.26%E -3.58%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.78%E -2.18%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:29
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.91%E -4.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.91%E -4.05%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.01%E -1.48%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.49%E -2.47%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 01:29
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.85%E -2.61%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 01:25
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 01:29
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.55%E -4.52%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 01:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.85%E -2.61%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:29
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 01:29
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 01:29
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.56%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 01:30
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.84%E -5.48%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -4.72%E -1.76%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-03-07 01:29
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.6%2026-03-07 01:30
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-07 01:29
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%2.3%2026-03-07 01:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-07 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-07 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%2.5%2026-03-07 01:29
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%4.2%2026-03-07 01:30