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SMU Mustangs v Miami (OH) RedHawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SMU Mustangs (Local)
Prediction 71.34%1.40fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%71.31%71.43%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.81%74.91%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit)
Prediction 28.66%3.49fair odd
EV +0.301%
Edge +0.086%
Kelly +0.120%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%28.69%28.57%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.233.5033.33%30.83%31.01%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SMU Mustangs (Local): 71.34%; Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit): 28.66%. For Miami (OH) RedHawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.301%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.301%E +0.086%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.301%E +0.086%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.54%E -4.99%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.301%E +0.086%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +0.014%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV +0.014%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.56%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.56%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.56%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.56%E -0.754%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.00%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.00%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 00:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.00%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.00%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.97%E -2.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.40%E -3.28%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.43%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.97%E -2.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 01:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -2.26%E -1.65%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV -7.44%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -6.54%E -4.99%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -7.72%E -2.40%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.97%E -2.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.83%E -4.41%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-18 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.25%E -5.58%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.30%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-18 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.73%E -3.09%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.97%E -2.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 01:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.11%E -3.85%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.69%E -2.73%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.60%E -4.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -1.55%E -1.12%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -14.03%E -4.68%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.97%E -2.19%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.03%E -4.68%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 72.03% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.97% | -0.1% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 01:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 01:10 |