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SMU Mustangs v Miami Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SMU Mustangs (Local)
Prediction 53.55%1.87fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.57%53.39%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.771.771.8357.80%56.50%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 46.45%2.15fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.43%46.61%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1051.28%49.04%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SMU Mustangs (Local): 53.55%; Miami Hurricanes (Visit): 46.45%. For SMU Mustangs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.01%E -1.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -5.70%E -2.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.01%E -1.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -2.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -2.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -2.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -2.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -2.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.61%E -2.01%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.15%E -2.32%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.17%E -3.05%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.68%E -2.63%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.17%E -3.05%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.45%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.45%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.45%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.85%E -1.86%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.31%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.31%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.31%E -2.09%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.49%E -4.31%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.75%E -3.27%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.77%E -2.33%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.75%E -3.27%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.24%E -2.57%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.24%E -2.57%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.03%E -4.05%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.29%E -3.59%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.03%E -4.05%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.17%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.10%E -3.55%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.25%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.42%E -4.83%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91% | -0.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |