Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars v Western Illinois Leathernecks

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (Local)

Prediction 89.03%1.12fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -32.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%89.10%89.05%90.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.0995.24%93.67%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Illinois Leathernecks (Visit)

Prediction 10.97%9.11fair odd
EV +11.93%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.155%

assuming max odds 10.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.33%10.90%10.95%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.438.5010.2014.29%11.87%11.76%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (Local): 89.03%; Western Illinois Leathernecks (Visit): 10.97%. For Western Illinois Leathernecks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -6.52%E -6.21%K -130.45%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +11.93%E +1.17%K +1.30%G +0.155%5.0%2026-02-26 21:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.24%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 21:35
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.24%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 22:05
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.63%E -5.31%K -93.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.24%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 21:34
Betway🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.63%E -5.31%K -93.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.24%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.63%E -5.31%K -93.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.24%E -0.137%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 21:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.85%E -3.57%K -48.15%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -1.78%E -0.199%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 21:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.85%E -3.57%K -48.15%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -1.78%E -0.199%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 21:46
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -3.85%E -3.57%K -48.15%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV -3.43%E -0.390%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 21:34
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.05%EV -3.85%E -3.57%K -48.15%G +0.000%8.78I 11.39%NM 10.95%EV -3.65%E -0.416%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 23:54
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.69%EV -2.96%E -2.72%K -32.90%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.31%EV -6.17%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-27 00:28
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 21:34
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.63%E -5.31%K -93.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.63%E -5.31%K -93.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 21:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.63%E -5.31%K -93.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.72%E -0.791%K -0.896%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.85%E -3.57%K -48.15%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -9.47%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.47%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 00:35
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.47%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 00:34
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.65%EV -6.52%E -6.21%K -130.45%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.35%EV -10.01%E -1.22%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 00:39
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.85%E -3.57%K -48.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -12.21%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 01:19
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.52%E -6.21%K -130.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.21%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 00:04
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.52%E -6.21%K -130.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.21%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.52%E -6.21%K -130.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.21%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.70%E -2.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:34
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.74%E -4.43%K -67.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.70%E -2.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:35
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.63%E -5.31%K -93.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.70%E -2.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 00:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.63%E -5.31%K -93.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.70%E -2.36%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-27 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.85%E -3.57%K -48.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -23.18%E -3.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-02-26 17:30
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-02-27 00:30
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.08%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.92%1.8%2026-02-27 00:04
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 89.30%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.70%2.7%2026-02-27 01:24