Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Siena Saints v Saint Peter's Peacocks

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Siena Saints (Local)

Prediction 69.16%1.45fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -7.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.61%69.28%69.16%71.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.371.381.4076.34%73.07%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Peter's Peacocks (Visit)

Prediction 30.84%3.24fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.533%
Kelly +0.765%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%30.72%30.84%32.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.083.053.3034.72%32.44%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Siena Saints (Local): 69.16%; Saint Peter's Peacocks (Visit): 30.84%. For Saint Peter's Peacocks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.63%E -4.91%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.76%E +0.533%K +0.765%G +0.013%4.4%2026-02-22 15:09
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.86%E -2.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.218%E +0.067%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-22 14:09
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -7.32%E -5.46%K -21.53%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -0.398%E -0.123%K -0.179%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 15:09
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -9.40%E -7.17%K -30.31%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -0.707%E -0.220%K -0.318%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.32%E -0.414%K -0.602%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 14:09
BetUS🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.86%E -2.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.87%E -0.910%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 17:19
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.87%E -0.910%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.87%E -0.910%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.87%E -0.910%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:10
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -3.86%E -2.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.86%E -2.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.86%E -2.78%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.10%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 17:19
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.17%E -2.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.17%E -2.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 14:09
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 14:09
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 17:24
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 15:19
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.41%E -1.42%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 14:10
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:25
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:20
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:24
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 14:20
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 17:34
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 18:50
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.32%E -5.46%K -21.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 16:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 14:09
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.94%E -4.37%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 14:19
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.63%E -4.91%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:10
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.63%E -4.91%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.01%E -6.02%K -24.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 14:10
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.01%E -6.02%K -24.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -4.55%E -3.30%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-02-22 17:20
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-02-22 17:35
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-02-22 18:15
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-02-22 18:25