A Escola das Odds

Siena Saints v Rider Broncs

Início: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Siena Saints (Local)

Previsão 89.72%1.11odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -2.87%
Kelly -38.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.90%89.54%89.72%90.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.041.061.061.0896.15%94.40%94.34%92.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rider Broncs (Visitante)

Previsão 10.28%9.73odd justa
EV +2.79%
Vantagem +0.279%
Kelly +0.310%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.42%10.46%10.28%13.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.109.079.2510.0014.08%11.02%10.81%10.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.79%E +0.279%K +0.310%G +0.009%5.2%2026-03-01 16:54
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.69%E -6.43%K -167.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.79%E +0.279%K +0.310%G +0.009%6.2%2026-03-01 16:04
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.21%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.86I 10.14%NM 9.79%EV +1.35%E +0.137%K +0.153%G +0.002%3.6%2026-03-01 16:24
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -1.32%E -0.137%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 15:44
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:39
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:39
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:05
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV -3.37%E -0.359%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -3.79%E -0.404%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:04
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -3.79%E -0.404%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:05
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:03
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:14
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:14
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:04
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:04
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 15:03
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 15:04
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 15:49
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:04
BoyleSports1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.69%E -6.43%K -167.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 16:54
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.69%E -6.43%K -167.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:09
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.69%E -6.43%K -167.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:09
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -10.06%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:18
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -10.06%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:40
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.63%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.63%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:35
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.63%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:34
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.10%E -2.87%K -38.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 15:49
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:09
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:05
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:04
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.90%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -27.02%E -3.81%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.08I 92.59%NM 92.49%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.51%0.1%2026-03-01 17:35
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-03-01 18:39
Polymarket1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-03-01 14:54
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.71%10.64I 9.40%NM 9.29%1.1%2026-03-01 18:39
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-03-01 18:49