L’École des cotes

Siena Saints v Rider Broncs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Siena Saints (Local)

Prévision 89.72%1.11cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -2.87%
Kelly -38.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.90%89.54%89.72%90.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.041.061.061.0896.15%94.40%94.34%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rider Broncs (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.28%9.73cote équitable
EV +2.79%
Avantage +0.279%
Kelly +0.310%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.42%10.46%10.28%13.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.109.079.2510.0014.08%11.02%10.81%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.79%E +0.279%K +0.310%G +0.009%5.2%2026-03-01 16:54
William Hill1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.69%E -6.43%K -167.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.79%E +0.279%K +0.310%G +0.009%6.2%2026-03-01 16:04
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.21%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.86I 10.14%NM 9.79%EV +1.35%E +0.137%K +0.153%G +0.002%3.6%2026-03-01 16:24
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -1.32%E -0.137%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 15:44
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:39
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:39
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:05
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:05
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.35%E -0.247%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 15:04
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV -3.37%E -0.359%K -0.402%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 18:39
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -3.79%E -0.404%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:04
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV -3.79%E -0.404%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 15:05
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 15:03
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:14
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 14:14
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:04
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.92%E -0.532%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:04
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 15:03
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 15:04
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 15:49
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:04
BoyleSports1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.69%E -6.43%K -167.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 16:54
Betsson1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.69%E -6.43%K -167.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:09
NordicBet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.69%E -6.43%K -167.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.49%E -0.832%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 15:09
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -10.06%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 13:18
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.79%E -5.52%K -115.86%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -10.06%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:40
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.63%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.63%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:35
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.63%E -1.49%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:34
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.10%E -2.87%K -38.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 15:49
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:09
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 17:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:05
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.90%E -4.62%K -81.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.77%E -2.22%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:04
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 86.90%EV -4.00%E -3.74%K -57.13%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -27.02%E -3.81%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.08I 92.59%NM 92.49%13.30I 7.52%NM 7.51%0.1%2026-03-01 17:35
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-03-01 18:39
Polymarket1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-03-01 14:54
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.71%10.64I 9.40%NM 9.29%1.1%2026-03-01 18:39
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-03-01 18:49