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Siena Saints v Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Siena Saints (Local)
Prediction 58.59%1.71fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.47%58.62%58.67%60.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.601.6863.69%62.05%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers (Visit)
Prediction 41.41%2.41fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.595%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.66%41.38%41.33%42.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.322.302.4545.05%43.07%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Siena Saints (Local): 58.59%; Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers (Visit): 41.41%. For Mt. St. Mary's Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.46%E +0.595%K +1.01%G +0.015% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.612%E -0.255%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.612%E -0.255%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 15:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.44%E -0.605%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 16:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 16:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.68%E -1.14%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 23:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.92%E -1.69%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 00:37 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.16%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 15:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.75%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.58%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -1.57%E -0.935%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -6.00%E -2.64%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 00:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.41%E -2.84%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 23:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 15:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 16:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.82%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 16:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.07%E -3.63%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.07%E -3.63%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05% | -0.1% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 01:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |