Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.05
assuming max odds 1.48
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seton Hall Pirates (Local): 33.66%; St. John's Red Storm (Visit): 66.34%. For Seton Hall Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.67%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.67%E +0.874%K +1.30%G +0.035% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.12%E -5.09%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.982%E +0.327%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.982%E +0.327%K +0.491%G +0.005% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.701%E -0.238%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.38%E -0.822%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.38%E -0.822%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 02:02 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.07%E -1.43%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.40%E -1.55%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -5.08%E -1.80%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.14%E -2.15%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 02:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.75%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.46%E -4.58%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.46%E -4.58%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.09%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.09%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.09%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 02:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.09%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.09%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.12%E -3.38%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.80%E -4.08%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.80%E -4.08%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -1.82%E -1.23%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.81%E -4.51%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.47%E -3.11%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -12.15%E -4.65%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -3.81%E -2.63%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.84% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.84% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.16% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.84% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |