Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Missouri St Redhawks v Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 22:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Missouri St Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 74.28%1.35fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -11.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.92%74.23%74.15%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.291.281.3078.13%77.79%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%25.77%25.85%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.703.703.8028.57%27.01%27.03%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SE Missouri St Redhawks (Local): 74.28%; Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Visit): 25.72%. For Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -2.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.44%E -2.64%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.18%E -3.24%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.27%E -0.596%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.18%E -3.24%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.27%E -0.596%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.18%E -3.24%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 22:04
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.18%E -3.24%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 22:04
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.27%E -0.596%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 22:05
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.27%E -0.596%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 22:05
Caesars🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -2.78%E -0.735%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 22:04
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.92%E -3.84%K -17.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-02-28 22:04
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 76.94%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.06%4.0%2026-02-28 22:04
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 79.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 20.62%26.0%2026-02-28 21:55