Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Missouri St Redhawks v Tennessee St Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Missouri St Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 59.02%1.69fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.62%59.05%58.75%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.621.6563.69%62.01%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee St Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 40.98%2.44fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%40.95%41.25%42.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.312.322.4044.84%43.30%43.10%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SE Missouri St Redhawks (Local): 59.02%; Tennessee St Tigers (Visit): 40.98%. For Tennessee St Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:57
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 00:59
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.52%E -1.94%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 22:09
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.21%E -1.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.62%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 21:34
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.47%E -1.04%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 21:29
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-27 00:59
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:54
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:24
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.57%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:54
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.57%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.57%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 23:59
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 21:29
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.65%E -0.687%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 01:00
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.57%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.65%E -0.687%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 23:29
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.29%E -1.39%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 23:34
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:39
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 00:59
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.75%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 00:59
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 01:20
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.16%E -3.87%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 01:25
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 23:34
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.67%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.80%E -3.47%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.52%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.48%0.0%2026-02-27 01:19
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-02-26 23:55
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-02-26 21:30
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-02-27 01:19
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-02-27 01:24