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SE Louisiana Lions v UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Louisiana Lions (Local)

Prediction 38.22%2.62fair odd
EV -0.641%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.400%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%38.21%37.78%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.452.432.6043.48%40.85%41.15%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit)

Prediction 61.78%1.62fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.79%62.22%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.551.561.5968.49%64.64%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SE Louisiana Lions (Local): 38.22%; UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Visit): 61.78%. For SE Louisiana Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.641%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.641%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.641%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 21:14
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.641%E -0.246%K -0.400%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -1.40%E -0.545%K -0.889%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -9.79%E -6.71%K -21.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 20:49
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 20:15
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.32%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.70%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 21:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.46%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 21:14
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.99%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.23%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:15
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 21:10
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:15
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.09%E -4.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 21:25
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.18%E -6.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 21:10
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.18%E -6.24%K -19.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 21:10
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -1.76%E -1.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:40
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 20:30
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -7.52%E -3.11%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -1.76%E -1.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 19:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -1.76%E -1.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 18:00
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 21:15
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 20:34
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.28%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 20:49
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.62%E -2.32%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 20:35
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.19%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 18:40
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.47%E -3.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-02-21 21:15
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-02-21 21:25
BetOpenly◎2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%1.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Novig◎2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%2.0%2026-02-21 21:15
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-02-21 21:10