Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Santa Clara Broncos v Pacific Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 03:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Santa Clara Broncos (Local)

Prediction 80.66%1.24fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -16.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.52%80.55%80.89%81.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.63%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pacific Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 19.34%5.17fair odd
EV +2.49%
Edge +0.469%
Kelly +0.578%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.08%19.45%19.11%21.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.794.705.3022.99%20.90%21.28%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santa Clara Broncos (Local): 80.66%; Pacific Tigers (Visit): 19.34%. For Pacific Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.62%E -4.81%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.49%E +0.469%K +0.578%G +0.014%4.3%2026-03-09 02:59
Everygame🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -5.62%E -4.81%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +2.49%E +0.469%K +0.578%G +0.014%4.3%2026-03-09 03:09
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +1.52%E +0.289%K +0.357%G +0.005%3.8%2026-03-08 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.415%E -0.081%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 23:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -0.415%E -0.081%K -0.100%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 23:49
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -2.74%E -0.544%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.32%E -0.663%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 23:49
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.32%E -0.663%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 02:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.32%E -0.663%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 21:04
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.32%E -0.663%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 21:09
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.32%E -0.663%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 03:04
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.62%E -4.81%K -33.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.32%E -0.663%K -0.829%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 20:29
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.24%E -6.29%K -48.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.32%E -0.663%K -0.829%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 03:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.28%E -0.865%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 02:39
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 02:40
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.25%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 03:03
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.20%E -2.67%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 21:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 03:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:05
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.15%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:04
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.03%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 19.97%EV -8.54%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 03:09
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 03:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 03:05
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 03:04
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 03:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 03:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 03:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 03:05
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.62%E -4.81%K -33.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 03:00
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.43%E -5.54%K -40.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:39
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.43%E -5.54%K -40.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.12%E -1.94%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 03:04
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 03:05
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 03:04
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -11.05%E -2.40%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 03:05
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.20%E -2.67%K -16.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -12.98%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 23:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.98%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.62%E -4.81%K -33.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.98%E -2.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 20:29
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -4.82%E -4.08%K -26.76%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -13.76%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.62%E -4.81%K -33.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 21:05
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.62%E -4.81%K -33.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -14.92%E -3.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.01%E -3.37%K -21.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -15.88%E -3.65%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.20I 83.33%NM 83.05%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.95%0.3%2026-03-09 03:14
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-09 03:09
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-09 03:14
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 45.66%1.00I 100.00%NM 54.34%84.0%2026-03-09 03:15