Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Dons v North Dakota St Bison

2026-11-07 03:00 UTC — NCAAB

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Dons (Local)

Prediction 72.46%1.38fair odd

EV -3.62%

Edge -2.72%

Kelly -10.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.43%72.36%72.46%73.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.301.291.3378.13%77.07%77.22%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Dakota St Bison (Visit)

Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd

EV -2.25%

Edge -0.632%

Kelly -0.880%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.80%27.64%27.54%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.453.503.5530.77%28.99%28.57%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Francisco Dons (Local): 72.46%; North Dakota St Bison (Visit): 27.54%. For North Dakota St Bison (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.55, with an expected value of -2.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.98%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-05 18:50
FanDuel🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.25%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-05 18:59
Bet Right🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-05 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-05 19:09
picklebet_au🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-05 19:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-05 18:59
Paddy Power🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-05 19:00
888sport🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-05 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-05 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-05 19:00
ReBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.49%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-05 19:00
SportsBet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.88%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-05 19:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%	1.7%	2026-11-05 19:05
Novig◎	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%	3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%	5.5%	2026-11-05 19:55
Polymarket◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 69.25%	2.86I 34.97%NM 30.75%	13.7%	2026-11-05 20:00