Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs v Utah State Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd

EV -1.37%

Edge -0.696%

Kelly -1.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.83%50.17%50.00%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.881.881.9755.56%53.17%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah State Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd

EV -0.131%

Edge -0.065%

Kelly -0.131%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.78%49.83%50.00%51.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.831.901.912.0054.64%52.60%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 50.07%; Utah State Aggies (Visit): 49.93%. For Utah State Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.003. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.000, with an expected value of -0.131%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -1.37%E -0.696%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -6.12%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-26 03:30
Bovada🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-26 03:19
888sport🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-26 03:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-26 03:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-26 03:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 23:50
DraftKings🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 23:45
GTbets🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 23:44
Betway🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 23:45
Caesars🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 23:43
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.38%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.12%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-02-26 03:55
FanDuel🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-02-26 00:45
TAB🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-26 03:39
Marathon Bet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.38%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-25 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-25 23:44
LeoVegas🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-25 23:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-25 23:45
betPARX🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-25 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-25 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-25 23:44
BetRivers🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-25 23:44
Unibet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-25 23:45
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-26 03:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-26 03:44
Neds🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-26 03:44
TABtouch🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.62%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-25 23:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-25 23:50
PlayUp🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-25 23:55
NordicBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.83%K -8.28%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-26 00:30
Betsson🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.83%K -8.28%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-26 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-25 23:45
SportsBet🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -7.88%E -4.28%K -9.38%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -6.12%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-02-26 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.131%E -0.065%K -0.131%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-02-25 15:30
Fliff🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-02-26 03:45
1xBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.62%E -4.71%K -10.38%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-02-25 23:49
Coral🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-02-26 03:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.35%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-02-26 03:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%	1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%	0.1%	2026-02-26 03:49
ProphetX◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%	1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%	1.0%	2026-02-26 03:55
Kalshi◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	1.0%	2026-02-26 03:50
Novig◎	2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%	1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%	1.3%	2026-02-26 03:51
Polymarket◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%	2.1%	2026-02-26 03:55