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San Diego St Aztecs v UNLV Rebels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego St Aztecs (Local)
Prediction 79.24%1.26fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -11.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.74%79.02%79.27%80.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2385.47%83.23%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UNLV Rebels (Visit)
Prediction 20.76%4.82fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.355%
Kelly +0.446%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%20.98%20.73%24.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.844.514.504.9026.04%22.17%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 79.24%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 20.76%. For UNLV Rebels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.50%E -5.51%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +1.74%E +0.355%K +0.446%G +0.008% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 02:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.30%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV +1.53%E +0.313%K +0.394%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.286%E +0.059%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +0.286%E +0.059%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.38%E -0.290%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.38%E -0.290%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 01:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.38%E -0.290%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.12%E -3.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.41%E -0.514%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 02:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.41%E -0.514%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.41%E -0.514%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.41%E -0.514%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.41%E -0.514%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.41%E -0.514%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.41%E -0.514%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.41%E -0.514%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.12%E -3.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -3.45%E -0.742%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.12%E -3.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.49%E -0.976%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 01:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.49%E -0.976%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 02:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.49%E -0.976%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.33%E -2.73%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -5.53%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 02:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.33%E -2.73%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 02:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 01:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.29%E -6.23%K -42.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.33%E -2.73%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.64%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.33%E -2.73%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.64%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 02:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.64%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 02:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.64%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.64%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 02:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.50%E -5.51%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.64%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 01:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.50%E -5.51%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.64%E -1.96%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 01:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -9.68%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 02:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -9.68%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 02:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.71%E -4.80%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -10.72%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.71%E -4.80%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -10.72%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.12%E -3.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -11.34%E -2.66%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 02:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.33%E -2.73%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -2.54%E -2.06%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 02:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.92%E -4.10%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.74%EV -2.54%E -2.06%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -20.27%E -5.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 01:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 80.86% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 19.14% | -1.1% | 2026-03-07 02:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 02:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.54% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.46% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 02:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 02:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.90% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.10% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 02:54 |