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San Diego St Aztecs v New Mexico Lobos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego St Aztecs (Local)
Prediction 56.43%1.77fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.878%
Kelly +1.98%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%56.30%56.35%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.691.8062.50%59.33%59.17%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Mexico Lobos (Visit)
Prediction 43.57%2.30fair odd
EV +0.202%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.156%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%43.70%43.65%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.152.3050.00%46.09%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 56.43%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 43.57%. For San Diego St Aztecs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.58%E +0.878%K +1.98%G +0.031% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.93%E -1.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 03:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 04:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.50%E -2.05%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 04:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 03:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 03:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 03:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -4.06%E -2.39%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -6.77%E -3.16%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.98%E -0.878%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.28%E -1.48%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 04:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 03:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -8.95%E -4.28%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.41%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.03%E -2.31%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 03:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.19%E -3.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.202%E +0.088%K +0.156%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 03:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.98%E -0.878%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 03:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.98%E -0.878%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.98%E -0.878%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 03:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.88%E -4.17%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.58%E -5.29%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.15%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -9.14%E -5.68%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -3.72%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 03:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.71%E -6.07%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.71%E -6.07%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.33%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 03:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 04:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 03:58 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |