Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samford Bulldogs v VMI Keydets

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

91%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samford Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 90.85%1.10fair odd

EV -3.70%

Edge -3.49%

Kelly -61.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.46%90.89%90.91%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.051.051.0697.09%95.65%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VMI Keydets (Visit)

Prediction 9.15%10.92fair odd

EV +19.01%

Edge +1.46%

Kelly +1.58%

Growth +0.301%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

7.34%9.11%9.09%10.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.0010.3410.5013.0011.11%9.67%9.52%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samford Bulldogs (Local): 90.85%; VMI Keydets (Visit): 9.15%. For VMI Keydets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.92. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.32%G +0.000%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +19.01%E +1.46%K +1.58%G +0.301%	4.8%	2026-02-26 21:24
Bovada🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.32%G +0.000%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +14.44%E +1.15%K +1.26%G +0.181%	5.1%	2026-02-26 08:30
DraftKings🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.86%E +0.822%K +0.896%G +0.088%	3.6%	2026-02-26 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +9.86%E +0.822%K +0.896%G +0.088%	3.6%	2026-02-26 23:44
888sport🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV +2.99%E +0.266%K +0.292%G +0.009%	5.0%	2026-02-26 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV +2.99%E +0.266%K +0.292%G +0.009%	5.0%	2026-02-26 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV +2.99%E +0.266%K +0.292%G +0.009%	5.0%	2026-02-26 18:30
BetUS🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.70%E -3.49%K -61.74%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.704%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-02-26 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.704%E +0.064%K +0.070%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-27 00:44
GTbets🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.70%E -3.49%K -61.74%G +0.000%	10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -1.22%E -0.113%K -0.124%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-02-27 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.70%E -3.49%K -61.74%G +0.000%	10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -1.22%E -0.113%K -0.124%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-02-26 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.05%EV -3.70%E -3.49%K -61.74%G +0.000%	10.79I 9.27%NM 8.95%EV -1.22%E -0.113%K -0.124%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-02-26 22:05
LeoVegas🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-27 00:44
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-27 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-27 00:44
ATG (SE)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-27 00:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-27 00:44
Svenska Spel🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-27 00:44
betPARX🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-27 00:44
BetMGM🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-26 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-26 21:25
Neds🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -3.87%E -0.369%K -0.408%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-26 21:24
Betway🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.45%E -0.845%K -0.939%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-26 14:05
1xBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.45%E -0.845%K -0.939%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-26 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.45%E -0.845%K -0.939%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-26 21:25
Coral🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.45%E -0.845%K -0.939%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-26 21:24
Paddy Power🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.45%E -0.845%K -0.939%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-26 21:24
Fliff🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.32%G +0.000%	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -10.74%E -1.10%K -1.23%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-27 00:54
BoyleSports🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.32%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -13.03%E -1.37%K -1.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-26 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.74%EV -5.52%E -5.31%K -138.03%G +0.000%	9.10I 10.99%NM 10.26%EV -16.69%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-26 23:49
TAB🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.70%E -3.49%K -61.74%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -17.61%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-02-26 21:24
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.61%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-27 00:45
TABtouch🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.61%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-27 00:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.61%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-27 00:44
Unibet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.61%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-27 00:45
BetRivers🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.61%E -4.39%K -92.25%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.61%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-27 00:45
Betsson🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.32%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -17.61%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-02-26 21:25
NordicBet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.43%E -6.24%K -214.32%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -17.61%E -1.96%K -2.20%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-02-26 21:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%	1.2%	2026-02-27 00:45
Kalshi◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%	16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%	1.2%	2026-02-27 00:55
Novig◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 92.36%	12.82I 7.80%NM 7.64%	2.1%	2026-02-27 00:50
ProphetX◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%	2.9%	2026-02-26 22:40