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Samford Bulldogs v UNC Greensboro Spartans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Samford Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 78.59%1.27fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -7.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%78.58%78.67%80.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2585.47%82.22%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit)
Prediction 21.41%4.67fair odd
EV +4.08%
Edge +0.838%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 4.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%21.42%21.33%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.334.304.8625.64%23.08%23.26%20.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samford Bulldogs (Local): 78.59%; UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit): 21.41%. For UNC Greensboro Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.20%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.80%EV +4.08%E +0.838%K +1.06%G +0.043% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.48%E -5.45%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +3.86%E +0.796%K +1.00%G +0.039% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.49%E -0.324%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.06%E -6.88%K -47.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.49%E -0.324%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -2.56%E -0.563%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.91%E -4.06%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.91%E -4.06%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 22:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.63%E -0.808%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -7.27%E -6.16%K -40.38%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -4.49%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 20:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.70%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 22:43 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.91%E -4.06%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -4.70%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.55%E -2.06%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -8.99%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.55%E -2.06%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -8.99%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.99%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.99%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.06%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.06%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.06%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 22:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -1.77%E -1.41%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -11.13%E -2.68%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.20%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.20%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.20%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.34%E -2.72%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.20%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.20%E -2.98%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.77%E -1.41%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.34%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.13%E -3.38%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.34%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.48%E -4.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -5.70%E -4.75%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -16.48%E -4.23%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.90% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 21.10% | -0.2% | 2026-02-28 22:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 21:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.33% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.67% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 22:53 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 22:49 |