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Sam Houston St Bearkats v New Mexico St Aggies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local)
Prediction 74.24%1.35fair odd
EV +13.58%
Edge +8.88%
Kelly +25.62%
Growth +3.48%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%72.61%75.81%80.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.341.251.5386.21%74.81%80.00%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Mexico St Aggies (Visit)
Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV +23.67%
Edge +4.93%
Kelly +6.23%
Growth +1.47%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%27.39%24.19%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.453.493.704.8040.82%28.65%27.03%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local): 74.24%; New Mexico St Aggies (Visit): 25.76%. For New Mexico St Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV +13.58%E +8.88%K +25.62%G +3.48% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -31.72%E -11.97%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 00:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV +13.58%E +8.88%K +25.62%G +3.48% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -32.24%E -12.26%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +12.84%E +8.45%K +24.69%G +3.17% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -34.30%E -13.45%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 01:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV +12.84%E +8.45%K +24.69%G +3.17% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -36.88%E -15.05%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV +12.10%E +8.01%K +23.72%G +2.87% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -35.59%E -14.24%K -23.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV +12.10%E +8.01%K +23.72%G +2.87% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -36.88%E -15.05%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 20:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV +11.35%E +7.57%K +22.71%G +2.58% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -30.69%E -11.41%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 00:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +11.35%E +7.57%K +22.71%G +2.58% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -33.01%E -12.70%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +11.35%E +7.57%K +22.71%G +2.58% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -33.01%E -12.70%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 00:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +11.35%E +7.57%K +22.71%G +2.58% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -33.01%E -12.70%K -20.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 00:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV +10.61%E +7.12%K +21.65%G +2.30% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -28.63%E -10.34%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV +10.61%E +7.12%K +21.65%G +2.30% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -28.63%E -10.34%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV +10.61%E +7.12%K +21.65%G +2.30% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -35.85%E -14.40%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 00:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +9.87%E +6.67%K +20.56%G +2.03% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -31.72%E -11.97%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +9.87%E +6.67%K +20.56%G +2.03% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -31.72%E -11.97%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV +9.87%E +6.67%K +20.56%G +2.03% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -36.88%E -15.05%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 01:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV +9.13%E +6.21%K +19.42%G +1.77% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -34.30%E -13.45%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV +9.13%E +6.21%K +19.42%G +1.77% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -34.30%E -13.45%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 00:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV +6.90%E +4.79%K +15.68%G +1.08% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -32.50%E -12.40%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 00:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.27%E -0.953%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -14.98%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 01:07 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.72%E -4.50%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.25%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.46%E -5.13%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.21%E -5.76%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.38%E -0.902%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.95%E -6.41%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +3.06%E +0.765%K +1.02%G +0.031% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.29%EV -7.95%E -6.41%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.71%EV +2.80%E +0.702%K +0.937%G +0.026% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.95%E -6.41%K -33.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.69%E -7.07%K -37.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +5.63%E +1.37%K +1.82%G +0.102% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -8.69%E -7.07%K -37.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +3.06%E +0.765%K +1.02%G +0.031% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.43%E -7.73%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +5.63%E +1.37%K +1.82%G +0.102% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.43%E -7.73%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +5.63%E +1.37%K +1.82%G +0.102% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.43%E -7.73%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +5.63%E +1.37%K +1.82%G +0.102% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -9.43%E -7.73%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +5.63%E +1.37%K +1.82%G +0.102% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.43%E -7.73%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +3.06%E +0.765%K +1.02%G +0.031% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.43%E -7.73%K -42.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -2.09%E -0.551%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -10.18%E -8.41%K -48.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +15.94%E +3.54%K +4.55%G +0.726% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -10.18%E -8.41%K -48.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV +1.77%E +0.448%K +0.600%G +0.011% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -10.92%E -9.10%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +12.08%E +2.78%K +3.60%G +0.435% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -10.92%E -9.10%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +12.08%E +2.78%K +3.60%G +0.435% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -10.92%E -9.10%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +12.08%E +2.78%K +3.60%G +0.435% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -11.66%E -9.80%K -61.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +23.67%E +4.93%K +6.23%G +1.47% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -11.66%E -9.80%K -61.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +23.67%E +4.93%K +6.23%G +1.47% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -11.66%E -9.80%K -61.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +23.67%E +4.93%K +6.23%G +1.47% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -11.66%E -9.80%K -61.37%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +23.67%E +4.93%K +6.23%G +1.47% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -11.66%E -9.80%K -61.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +10.79%E +2.51%K +3.27%G +0.353% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -13.89%E -11.97%K -86.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV +15.94%E +3.54%K +4.55%G +0.726% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47% | -0.0% | 2026-03-12 00:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 01:10 |