Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.35
assuming max odds 3.72
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local): 72.72%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 27.28%. For Missouri St Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -8.37%E -6.64%K -32.20%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV +1.48%E +0.398%K +0.544%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.74%E -3.62%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.74%E -3.62%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.79%E -0.498%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -4.01%E -3.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -2.89%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.01%E -3.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.16%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.16%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.16%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.16%E -0.890%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.01%E -3.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.98%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -4.01%E -3.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.98%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.28%E -2.47%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.01%E -3.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.74%E -3.62%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 22:23 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.74%E -3.62%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 19:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.19%E -4.80%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.19%E -4.80%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 19:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -2.55%E -1.91%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.01%E -3.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.92%E -5.40%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.16%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -3.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.01%E -3.04%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.25%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -9.43%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.83%E -1.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.28%E -2.47%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.28%E -2.47%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.98%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.83%E -1.35%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.34%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.46%E -4.20%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.54% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 26.46% | -0.0% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 22:19 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 22:24 |